Storm Anomalies
Update Dec. 31, 2009

Decade 2000

The 2010 Tally

Related Articles:

The Hurricane Page

The South Carolina Storms 

Spontaneous Hurricane Intensification

Records

2 close Carolina hurricanes forming in the same year: 2

this has never occurred in the past (range150 miles)

Consecutive years with 14 or more storms: 8

1998-2005( there has not been any years in the past with back to back storms of 14 or more, ever)

The highest avg. occurrence of storms within the same decade: 16.90

Decade 2000 ( the closest is decade 1990 with an average of 11.7)  An up tick of 44.44%

Forecasts

NOAA's forecast is based on the likelihood that above-normal activity that began in 1995 will continue. Since 1995, the Atlantic hurricane seasons have been above normal except for the alleged El Nino years of 1997 and 2002.

The 2002 is well above the average and why the reference point of 1995 close to the year the Earth changes started.

The TMP report estimates the risk of a major storm  a category 3 or higher  hitting the U.S. coastline, concluding the U.S. East Coast, including Florida, has a 48 percent chance of have a major storm making landfall while the U.S. Gulf Coast from the Florida Panhandle westward to Brownsville, Texas, has a 38 percent of chance of seeing a major hurricane. (Hind site: Katrina and Rita)

The National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting for 12 to 15 tropical storms to form during the 2004 season, which runs from June 1 to November 30. Six to eight storms are predicted to become hurricanes with two to four storms developing into major hurricanes ranked as Category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane strength.

Well are at the record maximum for Category 3+ storms: 6.

http://www.cnn.com/2004/WEATHER/05/17/hurricane.forecast/index.html